Using a unique dataset of the Euro area and the U.S. bank lending standards, we find that low (monetary policy)…
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates…
On 19–20 June 2006, the BIS held its fifth Annual Conference, on "Financial Globalisation", in Brunnen, Switzerland. The event brought…
Long-term bond yields have been low in recent years both in nominal and real terms, and . especially in the…
Foreign flows have an economically large and statistically significant impact on long term interest rates. Controlling for various macroeconomic factors…
In this paper we argue that both statistics and economic theory-based evidence largely indicate the absence of long run relationships…
This paper re-examines the empirical content of the expectations theory of the term structure by employing the Campbell-Shiller (1987) methodology…
In this paper a model is presented and estimated that explains real long-term interest rates in terms of developments in…
This paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates in the United States in light of the…
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models,…
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration…
This paper tests the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates in US data, using spectral regression…
This paper estimates the size and dynamics of inflation risk premia in the euro area, based on a joint model…
This paper reviews a simple three-factor arbitrage-free term structure model estimated by Federal Reserve Board staff and reports results obtained…
In this paper we show that a two-factor constant volatility model provides an adequate description of the dynamics and shape…
This paper uses an intertemporal general equilibrium asset pricing model to study the term structure of interest rates. In this…
Models which represent long-term interest rates as long averages of expected short-term interest rates imply, because of the smoothing implicit…
In a model where the risk premium on long-term debt is, in part, endogenously determined, we study two kinds of…
Despite its important role in monetary policy and finance, the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates…
Macroeconomists want to understand the effects of fiscal policy on interest rates, while financial economists look for the factors that…
We estimate Taylor (1993) rules and identify monetary policy shocks using no-arbitrage pricing techniques. Long-term interest rates are risk-adjusted expected…
This paper examines the role of the natural rate of interest in the conduct of monetary policy. The natural rate…
The real rate of interest is a central concept in economics. It represents the price of the intertemporal allocation of…
This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a lowinterest-rate environment. Applying a time-series…
It is generally believed that monetary policy actions are transmitted to the economy through their effect on market interest rates.…
(Restricted access) According to the Fisher hypothesis, an increase (decrease) in the spread between the long-term, or multiperiod, interest rate…
The term structure of interest rates has been extensively studied by economists. It is of interest to financial economists because…