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Using a unique dataset of the Euro area and the U.S. bank lending standards, we find that low (monetary policy)…
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This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates…
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On 19–20 June 2006, the BIS held its fifth Annual Conference, on "Financial Globalisation", in Brunnen, Switzerland. The event brought…
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Long-term bond yields have been low in recent years both in nominal and real terms, and . especially in the…
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Foreign flows have an economically large and statistically significant impact on long term interest rates. Controlling for various macroeconomic factors…
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In this paper we argue that both statistics and economic theory-based evidence largely indicate the absence of long run relationships…
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This paper re-examines the empirical content of the expectations theory of the term structure by employing the Campbell-Shiller (1987) methodology…
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In this paper a model is presented and estimated that explains real long-term interest rates in terms of developments in…
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This paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates in the United States in light of the…
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This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models,…
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This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration…
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This paper tests the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates in US data, using spectral regression…
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This paper estimates the size and dynamics of inflation risk premia in the euro area, based on a joint model…
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This paper reviews a simple three-factor arbitrage-free term structure model estimated by Federal Reserve Board staff and reports results obtained…
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In this paper we show that a two-factor constant volatility model provides an adequate description of the dynamics and shape…
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This paper uses an intertemporal general equilibrium asset pricing model to study the term structure of interest rates. In this…
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Models which represent long-term interest rates as long averages of expected short-term interest rates imply, because of the smoothing implicit…
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In a model where the risk premium on long-term debt is, in part, endogenously determined, we study two kinds of…
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Despite its important role in monetary policy and finance, the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates…
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Macroeconomists want to understand the effects of fiscal policy on interest rates, while financial economists look for the factors that…
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We estimate Taylor (1993) rules and identify monetary policy shocks using no-arbitrage pricing techniques. Long-term interest rates are risk-adjusted expected…
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This paper examines the role of the natural rate of interest in the conduct of monetary policy. The natural rate…
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The real rate of interest is a central concept in economics. It represents the price of the intertemporal allocation of…
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This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a lowinterest-rate environment. Applying a time-series…
It is generally believed that monetary policy actions are transmitted to the economy through their effect on market interest rates.…
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(Restricted access) According to the Fisher hypothesis, an increase (decrease) in the spread between the long-term, or multiperiod, interest rate…
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The term structure of interest rates has been extensively studied by economists. It is of interest to financial economists because…
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