
Thomas
Fossard
Investor Relations
The combination of the war in Ukraine, Natural Catastrophe events and the severe drought in Brazil affect SCOR’s profitability in H1 2022.
SCOR SE’s Board of Directors met on July 27, 2022, under the chairmanship of Denis Kessler, to approve the Group’s H1 2022 financial statements.
Key highlights:
In the first half of 2022, the global macroeconomic environment strongly deteriorated, as tensions driven by the war in Ukraine and the related sanctions grew regarding the supply of natural resources. Many countries are now experiencing levels of inflation that had not been observed in decades. In H1 2022, the impact of climate change also continued to be felt. The second quarter was marked by heavy floods in South Africa and storms in France, which followed a first quarter that had already been impacted by severe floods in Australia and one of the worst droughts experienced in Brazilian history. In the first half of 2022, the Covid-19 pandemic also continued.
The combination of these events has significantly affected SCOR’s results, leading to a net loss of EUR -239 million for the first half of 2022, of which EUR -159 million was incurred in the second quarter.
The reduced profitability notably reflects the cost of the claims related to the drought that impacted corn and soy crops in southern regions of Brazil. This was the worst drought in Brazil in 91 years and resulted in a USD 9.2 billion economic loss(2) with a EUR -193 million impact on SCOR’s technical result, of which EUR -35 million was incurred in the first quarter. As a consequence, and consistent with its ambitions to reduce its exposure to climate-sensitive events, SCOR has been fully reviewing its agriculture portfolio with a 50% exposure reduction (PML(3)) targeted for 2023.
SCOR was also impacted by the materialization of latent claims related to sexual molestation from the 1980s in the U.S. while the provision related to potential claims consequent to the war in Ukraine which was booked in the first quarter of 2022 is unchanged.
The total cost of Covid-19 claims amounted to EUR 254 million, of which EUR 195 million had been incurred in the first quarter.
Finally, the results of SCOR are significantly impacted by two non-operating items: EUR -45 million tax charges provisioned following negative taxable results in certain jurisdictions and the EUR -30 million pre-tax impact related to the option on own shares granted to SCOR valued at fair value through income.
In Q2 2022, a number of positive signs consistent with the Group’s stated priorities to reduce volatility, improve profitability and manage growth can also be observed, notably:
In this complex environment, SCOR stays the course and expects to navigate the current headwinds and take advantage of upcoming tailwinds in a hardening market, relying on the combination of its initiatives to improve profitability and reduce volatility, its strong Solvency and its ongoing transformation.
Strategic update:
Ahead of SCOR’s new strategic plan, which will be unveiled on November 9, the Group continues to take actions to navigate the transition to new risk environments and fully seize new opportunities.
Looking ahead, SCOR also sees a number of opportunities, both in L&H where increased awareness of the need for insurance coverage has triggered increased demand for protection products and in P&C where the combination of shrinking capacity and the growing imbalance between supply and demand should support a hardening P&C cycle.
SCOR’s long-term vision of a sustainable world highlighted by recent commitments relating to underwriting, investments, culture and people has been recognized by non-financial rating agencies: MSCI ESG now ranks SCOR among ESG leaders and Moody’s ESG Solutions’ rating was upgraded in 2022.
These paradigms lay the ground for the new strategic plan that will be unveiled on November 9, 2022.
In this context, the new accounting standard IFRS 17 should also better capture the Economic Value (estimated to be in excess of EUR 9 billion(8) at 1 January 2022) of SCOR, bringing closer the accounting framework and the other internal frameworks (EVA(9), Solvency 2) used by SCOR to make business decisions. Going forward, SCOR will focus on creating Economic Value over the long-term. The project is now transitioning across to production with the delivery of the Opening Balance Sheet (OBS) and comparatives. IFRS 17 represents a high degree of complexity for reinsurers given the nature of the business, especially for L&H.
Denis Kessler, Chairman of SCOR, comments: “The recent past has been a stark demonstration that uncertainties and instabilities of all kinds are multiplying: the Covid-19 scourge continues, entropic forces are running riot on the international geopolitical stage, inflation is reaching multi-decade highs, the economy is slowing down, the fear of a global recession is growing, the frequency and severity of natural catastrophes are on the rise – a change that is most likely linked to global warming... In this volatile environment, risk aversion, and the need for protection, will continue to soar. The multiplication of uncertainties and risks demonstrates more than ever the crucial role of the reinsurance industry to act as a cornerstone and guarantor of the resilience of the global economy. I am convinced that SCOR, as a Tier 1 global reinsurer, is perfectly equipped to meet these challenges and pursue its value-creating development, building on its global franchise, its recognized technical expertise, its financial strength, the talent of its teams and its command of new technologies.”
Laurent Rousseau, Chief Executive Officer of SCOR, comments: “H1 2022 has been marked by a series of exceptional events both in L&H and in P&C, which have negatively impacted our financial performance. Most notably, a number of events driven by climate change (natural catastrophes, droughts, etc.) have affected the profitability of our P&C business, confirming that our strategy to decrease our exposure to these events is the right one. Despite an accounting loss, SCOR’s solvency position remains stable and robust with a solvency ratio of 240%.
The current changing environment comes with challenges and opportunities and our objectives are unchanged: to reduce earnings volatility, increase profitability, grow the franchise, optimally allocate capital and accelerate the Group’s transformation. We are fully focused on the preparation of the new strategic plan that will be unveiled in November together with our Q3 results. In a stochastic world, we are taking remediation actions proactively, while taking advantage of an environment where demand for protection is increasing, with strong pricing discipline. SCOR is building on its strengths to adapt and seize opportunities arising from the current risk environment.”
(1) At constant exchange rates
(2) Source: https://www.farmprogress.com/commentary/drought-devastates-brazilian-crop
(3) PML (probable maximum loss) as measured by the net Aggregate Exceedance Probability-250
(4) PML (probable maximum loss) as measured by the net Aggregate Exceedance Probability-250
(5) At constant exchange rates
(6) SCOR Price change is based on a sample of contracts for which price evolution can be computed per unit of exposure (e.g. notably excludes new contracts, contracts renewing with change in structure, multi-year non-proportional accounts)
(7) As at 30 June 2022, fair value through income on invested assets excludes EUR (30)m related to the option on own shares granted to SCOR. The H1 2022 RoIA at 1.6% is calculated based on IFRS 9 and includes the impact of expected credit losses (ECL) and change in fair value of invested assets measured at fair value through profit and loss. Excluding those impacts (which would not have been recorded under IAS39), the RoIA would have been at 2.0%
(8) Unaudited figure, defined as shareholders’ equity plus contractual service margin (CSM) net of tax
(9) Economic Value Added
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